Teams with Lock status have at least a 95% chance to make the tournament, according to the BPI forecast. (Yes, this means that 5% of the time, a team marked as a lock will miss the tourney. We set the threshold there as a nod to the traditional standard for significance testing.)

SMU, Boise State and VCU are among the intriguing teams outside the NCAA tournament field at the moment who could still play their way in.

Every team begins the season hoping to make the tournament, but these five would be thrilled to be a part of Selection Sunday's drama.